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Don’t go there!

Perhaps ironically, one of the most famous 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse paintings is by a Russian:

  • Pestilence (on a White Horse -> COVID !?)
  • War (on a Red Horse -> PUTIN !?)
  • Famine (on a Black Horse -> HYPERINFLATION !?)
  • Death (on a Pale Horse -> TOO LATE !?)

 

For relevant updated news go to the EMMA press pages, or follow the following currently relevant (independent) news:
  • Meduza
  • DW
  • Ahead
‘Total chaos’: The Kremlin knows Russians are angry about new Internet restrictions. It’s struggling to respond.

As mobile Internet blackouts spread from Russia’s regions to Moscow and the authorities continue throttling Telegram, opinion polls paint an uncomfortable picture for the Kremlin. Eighty-three percent of teenagers have reacted negatively to the shutdowns. Pro-government pollsters have avoided publishing analogous survey data on adult Russians, not wanting to draw attention to the scale of the discontent. Meanwhile, the security services pushing for the blocks have faced virtually no resistance from the politicians who privately oppose them. Meduza spoke with sources inside the Kremlin, regional governments, and the Putin administration’s political team to find out why.

A wave of articles in Russian regional media is urging users to delete Telegram, citing risks from cyberattacks to overheating phones. Is it actually unsafe?

In recent weeks, a series of articles with near-identical headlines has appeared across Russian state-controlled regional media, warning readers to delete Telegram from their phones before March 31. At the same time, the pro-Kremlin tabloid Baza published a piece claiming that Russians’ iPhones have been overheating and breaking down because VPNs (often used to access Telegram) put too much load on the processor. All of this is unfolding against the backdrop of Telegram’s slow but apparently irreversible blocking by the Russian authorities. Meduza teamed up with the fact-checking project Provereno Media to make sense of this wave of warnings.

Soaring oil prices could bring the Kremlin billions — but they still won’t fix the Russian economy

In just a matter of weeks, the Middle East war has taken on enormous significance for Russia’s leadership. After the first two months of the year, the country’s federal budget deficit had already spiraled out of control. But the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 27 percent of global seaborne oil and petroleum products trade passes — triggered a sharp spike in commodity prices. This could allow the Kremlin to hold the annual deficit to its target of 1.6 percent and keep military spending at the top of its priorities. Even so, this windfall won’t resolve the deep structural problems plaguing a war-battered economy. Meduza explains what the high price of oil means for Russia’s pocketbook.

A mysterious group is calling on Russians to protest the Kremlin’s Internet restrictions. Is it a trap?

In the last month, accounts linked to a movement calling itself “Scarlet Swan” began appearing on TikTok and Telegram in Russia. Its members — young men and women, including minors, as the outlet Verstka has reported — are urging Russians to take to the streets on March 29 to protest the Kremlin’s intensifying Internet restrictions. However, opposition activists and journalists have warned that the project could be a setup orchestrated by Russian security services. On March 23, the movement’s Telegram channel said that one of its administrators had sold their account to associates of Vladislav Pozdnyakov, a pro-war blogger and founder of the far-right organization ”Male State” — though minutes later the same channel dismissed the claim as fabricated.

The FSB ran ads offering Russians quick cash to commit sabotage. The agency called it a ‘social experiment.’

The Sverdlovsk branch of the Russian Security Service (FSB) recently ran what it described as a “social experiment” — posting Telegram ads promising “easy money” and then asking those who responded to commit acts of sabotage.

Ukraine and Qatar have agreed to cooperate on high-tech projects and share battlefield expertise on countering missile and drone threats.
"We've always encouraged people to have a break with KitKat," the company said, "but it seems thieves have taken the message too literally."
French police arrested one suspect as he was reportedly attempting to activate the explosive device in Paris, with another person still on the run.
A Holocaust survivor and the son of a Nazi collaborator have shared their experiences at Brussels' Train World museum. Talking to students, they warned of the dangers of forgetting history.
Pope Leo XIV decried the widening gap between the rich and poor during a visit to the tiny European principality. He called on the ultra-wealthy residents of the tax haven to channel their prosperity toward justice.
Orestone initiates exploration on Francisca Gold Project with mapping and sampling program –  Richard Mills
Orestone initiates exploration on Francisca Gold Project with mapping and sampling program –  Richard Mills

2026.03.28

Phase 1 of exploration has begun at Orestone Mining’s (TSXV:ORS) Francisca Gold Project in Salta province, Argentina.

The program will consist of detailed mapping and sampling of a 200 by 500-meter grid covering the surface exposure of the South Zone. Sampling will consist of 600 rock chip, channel and grab samples including the resampling of the 11 existing trenches which crosscut the zone along its 500-meter strike length.

Continue reading Orestone initiates exploration on Francisca Gold Project with mapping and sampling program – Richard Mills at Ahead of the Herd.

Sulfur chokepoint threatens critical minerals supply  –  Richard Mills
Sulfur chokepoint threatens critical minerals supply  –  Richard Mills

2026.03.28

Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has had a profound impact on the prices of oil, natural gas, and other key industrial commodities.

Before the war started, 20 million barrels of oil flowed through the strait daily, or about a fifth of global oil consumption. Significant volumes of aluminum, LNG, distillates such as gasoline, fertilizer, and sulfuric acid used in metal refining, also normally transit the narrow waterway, but are trapped in the Persian Gulf due to the conflict.

Continue reading Sulfur chokepoint threatens critical minerals supply  – Richard Mills at Ahead of the Herd.

Torr Metals expands 2026 drilling with Lodi-Kirby porphyry target –  Richard Mills
Torr Metals expands 2026 drilling with Lodi-Kirby porphyry target –  Richard Mills

2026.03.26

Torr Metals (TSXV:TMET) announced on March 25 that the drill-permitted Lodi and Kirby zones are a compelling secondary drill target for the 2026 exploration program, based on newly integrated interpretations of geological, geochemical and geophysical datasets.

Torr believes the Lodi-Kirby area represents a highly prospective copper-gold porphyry cluster system, with the potential to host multiple preserved mineralized intrusive centers, including the Lodi and Kirby occurrences, at shallow to moderate depths beneath a broader interpreted hydrothermal footprint measuring approximately 24.5 square kilometers.

Continue reading Torr Metals expands 2026 drilling with Lodi-Kirby porphyry target – Richard Mills at Ahead of the Herd.

Quiet quitting and war crashing US bond market –  Richard Mills
Quiet quitting and war crashing US bond market –  Richard Mills

2026.03.25

US President Trump has reneged on his promise to the American people of making life more affordable by starting a war with Iran that has entered its fourth week.

Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, along with attacks on oil and gas infrastructure in the neighboring Gulf states, have pushed oil prices above $100 a barrel. Gasoline prices have risen about 30% in the US and in Europe they have doubled.

Continue reading Quiet quitting and war crashing US bond market – Richard Mills at Ahead of the Herd.

VIDEO: The Strait of Hormuz and the Global Oil Market
VIDEO: The Strait of Hormuz and the Global Oil Market

From Goehring & Rozencwajg 

For investors allocating across asset classes, this event highlights how little buffer exists in the system after years of underinvestment. Despite expectations of oversupply, the market may be far tighter—and more fragile—than widely believed.

If that’s the case, this disruption may not be a one-off event, but an early signal of a broader revaluation in energy markets.

Read More

Continue reading VIDEO: The Strait of Hormuz and the Global Oil Market at Ahead of the Herd.

 

2EMMA Featured Stories


Mandela’s Kiss Endures

Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat and Nelson Mandela embrace at Mandela's home in Johannesburg, South Africa, on Jan. 13, 1990.

 

The 2024 Global Elections Super-Cycle

Stay tuned for continuous updates on elections around the world. Click on a country for the latest elections data and analysis.

  • Number of national elections to be held in 2024            18 of 68
  • Overall turnout (based on registered voters)                        63%
  • Total number of ballots cast in 18 elections                   467,094,737

 

Pulled conclusions from pooled data compilations

Using some of the world’s largest companies by market cap & some of the most quoted indices + two most sung alternatives: data for this millennia where available

  • At 134x, Apple is the absolute stock price growth winner; with Amazon at 45x and Google at 32x
  • Despite the lack of interest or dividends, gold at 6.6x looks good compared to any other stock or index!
  • Barrick Gold on the other hand seems to be poorly correlated to anything including the gold metal itself!?
  • But Barrick is the only stock producing negative correlations with most of the indices including a relatively high -0.77 with the Euronext100 index
  • If one wast trying to get something totally uncorrelated on purpose- it would be hard to beat: gold and the Euronext100 index at -0.03; or Barrick and the Hang Seng index at 0.04; or gold and Merck at 0.16; or BTC and the FTSE index at 0.19
  • Correlation against a basket of indices & alternatives is best in Disney and Google (0.81-0.82), albeit at different growth multiples
  • If an average historical P/E is somewhere in the 20x range, then the current S&P quoted average which is in high 30s is as warned high, BUT: only Amazon and Visa seem to be widely out of range (justified by growth in online transactions?), with many below current & historical averages
  • In the current world of no interest & no inflation, maybe the higher P/E averages are justified..? For how long, that is a different question…

For hedging ideas, other growth, correlations, or averages- take a look at the data set/:>  the Excel file: 2emma stock monitor or go to the Data Monitor

 

2EMMA Hall of Fame


 

The Economist – Graphic Detail

Almost like it was done by John Graphicon 🙂

Our analysis suggests that more than 22m people across the Middle East live near a reported strike [...]

The World Happiness Report shows it diverging from the rest of the world [...]

Our analysis shows which routes are getting longer [...]

Our analysis finds that age gaps among America’s richest couples are shrinking [...]

Our annual measure of the role and influence of women in the workforce [...]